Republicans currently have just a 38% chance of keeping their Senate majority

  |   World News

Every day seems to bring another story about nervous Republican House and Senate candidates, wondering if Donald Trump is going to cost them their seats. Here’s the interesting thing: Yes, the odds are against the Republicans’ retaining control of the Senate, though they will likely continue to control the House. But it’s still not clear that Trump is (yet) hurting Republicans running for Congress. Throughout this cycle, we’ve partnered with the forecasters at Good Judgment, who prognosticate about all kinds of questions related to the election. You can find those questions here. One question we’ve put before these forecasters is which party will control the House and Senate. Here is the trend in the forecast over time:

From The Washington Post: